Skip to main content

The economic impact of smoking

Smoking is the leading cause of premature death and disability in the UK and is responsible for half the difference in healthy life expectancy between rich and poor. Beyond the health impacts, smoking is a significant drain on economic productivity and creates substantial costs for public services, households and wider society. These costs far exceed the revenue raised through tobacco taxes.

Key points

  • Smoking costs society in England £43.7bn a year through a combination of lost economic productivity and health and social care costs. This rises to £78.3bn if the cost of early deaths due to smoking is included.
  • In 2024, smoking cost the public finances in England £16.5bn, more than double the £6.8bn raised through tobacco taxes.
  • Investing in tobacco control will boost employment and productivity. Around 230,000 people in the UK are unfit to work due to smoking-related illnesses like cancer, heart disease, COPD and diabetes.

The profound and far-reaching impact of smoking on society and the economy means there are many ways to express the costs and quantify the impact. This page sets out the key costs and provides a short explanation of how these are assessed.

Total cost to society in England

ASH estimates smoking costs England £43.7bn annually (and £51.9bn across the UK). This includes:

  • £27.6bn in lost productivity (early deaths, reduced employment, and lower earnings due to tobacco consumption)
  • £1.82bn in healthcare costs
  • £13.9bn in social care costs to the state and families
  • £332m in smoking-related fires

These costs can be broken down by region, local authority, combined authority, parliamentary constituency, and ICB using the ASH Ready Reckoner. For more information see the Ready Reckoner methodology and the underlying economic modelling: CBPF Model of Smoking (V 2.3 January 2025).

Note: The £43.7bn cost to society doesn’t include the cost of early deaths due to smoking (£34.6bn) which is set out below.

Note: Previous ASH analysis has put the cost of smoking in England at £21.8 bn. This figure is based on the same analysis as the ASH Ready Reckoner but excludes some elements not used by the UK government in their modelling, specifically:

  • The cost of informal and unmet care needs for those unable to secure local authority care
  • Reduced Gross Value Added (GVA) due to expenditure on tobacco products compared to other goods and services

To view this analysis, select “Show costs, excluding GVA and informal & unmet social care, as used in DHSC modelling” in the Ready Reckoner.

Cost to the public finances in England

Smoking cost the public finances in England £16.5bn in 2024. After accounting for £6.8bn in tobacco tax revenue and £206m in reduced pension payments due to early deaths, the net loss was £9.7bn. This includes:

  • £3.3bn in reduced tax revenue from lost productivity (£10.1bn before excise tax revenue is accounted for).
  • £3.4bn in increased social security spending (£3.7bn before reduced pension payments are accounted for)
  • £3bn in public service costs (healthcare, social care and fire services).

Note: These figures refer to things which have a direct cost to the public finances (e.g. reduced tax revenue). This is different to the overall costs of smoking to society which are significantly larger, but do not all directly impact the public finances.

Calculations by Landman Economics for ASH. See the CBPF Model of Smoking for the full methodology.

Impact of smoking on employment

It is estimated that around 230,000 people in the UK are unfit to work due to smoking-related illnesses like cancer, heart disease, COPD and diabetes. These diseases mean that smokers need care (help with basic tasks like dressing, walking across a room and using the toilet) on average 10 years earlier than non-smokers. For every person killed by smoking, at least another 30 are estimated to be living with serious smoking-related disease and disability.

Reducing smoking rates will:

  • Support people back into the workforce and prevent many more becoming sick in the first place, increasing employment and productivity.
  • Generate more UK jobs as spending switches away from tobacco to other goods and services. Spending on tobacco has almost no positive impact on UK employment due to the lack of any domestic production of tobacco or cigarettes.

Cost of early deaths due to smoking

Early deaths from smoking in England cost £34.6bn annually. This is calculated using the HM Treasury ‘green book’ QALY values, which assign a financial value to each year of life lost.

This figure is excluded from the overall cost of smoking to society figure, as the value of lives lost is a subjective measure rather than a direct financial cost. It is, however, a further way to assess the significant impact of smoking every year on people’s lives and capture the intrinsic value of lives lost to smoking, separate to tangible costs such as healthcare and productivity.

Calculations by Landman Economics for ASH. See the CBPF Model of Smoking for the full methodology.

Cost to people who smoke and their families

In 2024, people who smoke in England spent £12.1bn in total on tobacco, averaging 2,338 per smoker. This equates to 10% of the £23,338 average disposable income for England (gross disposable household income per head). Quitting smoking is one of the best things people who smoke can do to boost their income.

See the ASH Ready Reckoner for local estimates of tobacco spending.

Households with smokers face higher poverty rates. In 2018/19, 21% of smoking households in the UK lived below the poverty line, amounting to one million households. When tobacco expenditure was included in the assessment of poverty, this rose to 32% (1.5 million households), including:

  • 1 million children.
  • 2.2 million working-age adults.
  • 400,000 pensioners.

Source: Landman Economics. Estimates of poverty in the UK adjusted for expenditure on tobacco – 2021 update. July 2021